Major League Soccer

Sep 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
4 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Glesnes (29', 29'), Jimenez (36+36'), Lowe (57', 57'), Carranza (58', 59'), Myers (69+69'), Gazdag (76', 76')
Lowe (37'), McGlynn (45+5'), Bedoya (80'), Baribo (85')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Fernandez (11', 11')
Nealis (6'), Nealis (6'), Lesesne (7'), Reyes (24'), Reyes (24')
Nealis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
59.66% ( 0.11)	23.22% ( -0.2)	17.12% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.1% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36% (

0.92)

52.64% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71% (

0.79)

74.29% (

-0.78)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

0.37)

17.33% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

0.65)

47.7% (

-0.65)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.76% (

0.68)

44.24% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.68% (

0.55)

80.32% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 59.64%

New York Red Bulls 17.12%

Draw 23.21%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 59.64%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.57% Total : 17.12%