Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
New England

Amaya (58', 58'), Carmona (85', 85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bye (76', 76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 New England
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	New England Revolution
56.35% ( 0.04)	23.76% ( 0)	19.88% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.2% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.01% (

-0.06)

50.98% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

-0.05)

72.85% (

0.05)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

-0.01)

17.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.27% (

-0.02)

48.72% (

0.02)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94% (

-0.07)

40.05% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

-0.07)

76.7% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 56.33%

New England Revolution 19.88%

Draw 23.76%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.33%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.88%