Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 52.29% ( | 25.13% ( | 22.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( | 53.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% ( | 74.88% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% | 20.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.18% ( | 52.82% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% ( | 38.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% ( | 75.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.61% Total : 52.28% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.58% |