Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
1 - 0
New England

Campbell (86', 86')
Corbo (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Polster (25'), Polster (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-3 Montreal
Monday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 4-0 DC United
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	New England Revolution
46.21% ( 0.05)	25.96% ( 0.01)	27.83% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.39% (

-0.07)

52.61% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.74% (

-0.06)

74.26% (

0.06)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.01)

22.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

-0.01)

56.41% (

0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

-0.08)

33.68% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67% (

-0.09)

70.33% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 46.21%

New England Revolution 27.83%

Draw 25.96%

CF Montreal	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.21%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.83%