Major League Soccer

Jul 13, 2023 at 2.44am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
3 - 0
Montreal

Gutierrez (9', 9'), Haile-Selassie (11', 11'), Shaqiri (33', 33')

FT(HT: 6-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	CF Montreal
54.88% ( -0.11)	23.89% ( -0.05)	21.24% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 50.81% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

0.38)

49.86% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

0.34)

71.85% (

-0.34)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95% (

0.1)

18.05% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.05% (

0.17)

48.95% (

-0.17)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62% (

0.37)

38% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

0.36)

74.77% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 54.87%

CF Montreal 21.24%

Draw 23.89%

Chicago Fire	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.87%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.24%