Major League Soccer

Jul 13, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Atlanta

Polster (4', 4'), Vrioni (9', 9'), Miller (90+3')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Chol (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 New England
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
56.89% ( 0.01)	22.03% ( -0)	21.07% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.91% (

-0.01)

42.08% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51% (

-0.01)

64.48% (

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.4% (

-0)

14.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.31% (

42.68% (

-0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.25% (

-0.01)

33.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.59% (

-0.02)

70.4% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 56.89%

Atlanta United 21.07%

Draw 22.03%

New England Revolution	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.93% Total : 56.89%	1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.07%