Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
4 - 0
DC United

Bou (44', 45'), Harkes (45+7', 45+6', 49', 49'), Hines-Ike (73' og., 73' og.)

FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	DC United
55.72% ( -0.23)	22.56% ( -0.22)	21.71% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 55.74% (

1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.35% (

1.48)

43.64% (

-1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.96% (

1.43)

66.03% (

-1.44)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.48% (

0.43)

15.52% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.57% (

0.81)

44.42% (

-0.82)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.97% (

1.26)

34.02% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.29% (

1.33)

70.7% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 55.72%

DC United 21.71%

Draw 22.56%

New England Revolution	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.72%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.71%