Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.