Major League Soccer

Jun 22, 2023 at 4.07am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
3 - 0
Dallas

Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Austin
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Austin vs. Houston
Sunday, June 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-0 Dallas
Monday, June 12 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Dallas vs. Los Angeles
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
54.8% ( -0.1)	24.29% ( -0.01)	20.9% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 49.14% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16% (

0.13)

51.83% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4% (

0.11)

73.59% (

-0.12)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

0.01)

18.82% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

0.02)

50.25% (

-0.03)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53% (

0.17)

39.46% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.84% (

0.16)

76.15% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 54.79%

Dallas 20.9%

Draw 24.29%

Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.79%	1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.9%