Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
DC United

Tolkin (88', 88')
Yearwood (43'), Yearwood (44'), Reyes (78'), Reyes (78'), Duncan (82'), Duncan (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Durkin (36'), Durkin (36'), Williams (54'), Williams (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: New England 4-0 DC United
Sunday, July 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	DC United
57.56% ( 0.01)	24.4% ( -0)	18.03% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.47% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

-0)

55.72% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14% (

-0)

76.86% (

-0)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

19.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.04% (

0.01)

50.95% (

-0.01)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.06% (

-0.02)

44.94% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.12% (

-0.01)

80.88% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 57.56%

DC United 18.03%

Draw 24.39%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 57.56%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.03%