Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
3 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Luna (2', 2', 53', 53'), Savarino (81', 81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Amaya (80', 80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-2 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	New York Red Bulls
54.08% ( -0.34)	24.75% ( -0)	21.17% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 48.18% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.69% (

0.38)

53.31% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

0.32)

74.86% (

-0.33)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.02)

19.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

0.02)

51.64% (

-0.03)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.97% (

0.58)

40.03% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.32% (

0.53)

76.68% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 54.08%

New York Red Bulls 21.17%

Draw 24.75%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.08%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.17%