Major League Soccer

Jul 13, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Fernandez (28' pen., 28' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Acosta (80' pen., 80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3', 90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 New England
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
53.71% ( 0.04)	24.41% ( 0)	21.88% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

-0.05)

51.24% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

-0.05)

73.08% (

0.04)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98% (

-0.01)

19.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.42% (

-0.01)

50.57% (

0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.85% (

-0.07)

38.14% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.09% (

-0.07)

74.9% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 53.7%

FC Cincinnati 21.88%

Draw 24.41%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.7%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.88%