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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Fernandez (28' pen., 28' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Acosta (80' pen., 80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3', 90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 New England
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
53.71% (0.036999999999999 0.04)24.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)21.88% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.055 -0.05)51.24% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.08% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.42% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)38.14% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)74.9% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 53.7%
    FC Cincinnati 21.88%
    Draw 24.41%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 12.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati

New York Red Bulls
33.3%
Draw
41.7%
FC Cincinnati
25.0%
24
Head to Head
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Blackett (2'), Cruz (30'), Kubo (90+1')
Cruz (58'), Acosta (90+3')
Tolkin (30'), Edwards (45'), Long (90+3')
Oct 3, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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