Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 58.29% ( | 23.13% ( | 18.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( | 50.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( | 72.16% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( | 16.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( | 47.01% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.94% ( | 41.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.39% ( | 77.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 3-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2% Total : 18.58% |