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Major League Soccer

St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 1.59am UK
CityPark
Inter Miami

St Louis City
3 - 0
Inter Miami

Adeniran (28', 28'), Parker (40', 40'), Lowen (80', 80')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

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Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 St Louis City
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
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Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawInter Miami
47.73% (2.06 2.06)24.24% (-0.782 -0.78)28.03% (-1.276 -1.28)
Both teams to score 56.92% (1.728 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.76% (2.667 2.67)45.24% (-2.665 -2.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (2.506 2.51)67.58% (-2.502 -2.5)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (1.952 1.95)19.06% (-1.949 -1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35% (3.136 3.14)50.65% (-3.134 -3.13)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.452 0.45)29.68% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.542 0.54)65.73% (-0.539 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 47.74%
    Inter Miami 28.03%
    Draw 24.24%
St Louis CityDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.197 0.2)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.498 -0.5)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.409 0.41)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.287 0.29)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.284 0.28)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.287 0.29)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.217 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.189 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.673 -0.67)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.722 -0.72)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 28.03%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Inter Miami

St Louis City
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Inter Miami
5.3%
19