Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Carlos Vela 72' goal
  • Carlos Vela 72' goal
  • Stipe Biuk 82' goal
  • Stipe Biuk 82' goal
  • Jose Cifuentes 90'+2' goal
  • Jose Cifuentes 90'+2' goal

Los Angeles FC vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 0 - 1 St Louis City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result

Los Angeles FC 70.66% (-0.03)
Draw 17.09% (+0.01)
St Louis City 12.24% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.19% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 35.81% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 42.11% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 57.89% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 23.86% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.14% (-0.02)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 90.98%
Under 0.5 9.02% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 69.29%
Under 1.5 30.71% (-0.01)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 59.35% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.64% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.23% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 70.66%
Draw 17.09%
St Louis City 12.24%
Los Angeles FC
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.66% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.59%
Total : 70.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.09%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 3.57% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.24%