Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
71.65% ( -0.89) | 16.9% ( 0.48) | 11.46% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 51.98% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.91% ( -1.16) | 37.09% ( 1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.71% ( -1.26) | 59.29% ( 1.26) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% ( -0.49) | 9.12% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.05% ( -1.19) | 30.95% ( 1.19) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.19% ( -0.06) | 42.81% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.87% ( -0.05) | 79.13% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.38% Total : 71.64% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.29% Total : 11.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |