Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.