Major League Soccer

Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Andres Martinez (23', 23'), Gazdag (37' pen., 37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85'), Baribo (85')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Boupendza (49', 49'), Vazquez (76', 76')
Miazga (18'), Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83'), Mosquera (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 NY Red Bulls
Monday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	FC Cincinnati
62.04% ( 0)	20.63% ( -0)	17.32% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.54% (

-0.01)

41.46% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.14% (

-0.01)

63.86% (

0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.17% (

-0)

12.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.83% (

-0)

39.17% (

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.65% (

-0.01)

37.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

-0.01)

74.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 62.04%

FC Cincinnati 17.32%

Draw 20.63%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.81% 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.42% Total : 62.04%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.32%