Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 19' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 21' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 37' goal
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 42' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 63' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 74' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • Jack Elliott 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 18'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Roman Celentano 35'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 36'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 49'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 45'+4'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 76'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'
  • redcard Yerson Mosquera 83'

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 4, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia 4 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati 0 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 62.04% (+0.01)
Draw 20.63% (-0.01)
FC Cincinnati 17.32% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.54% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.46% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 36.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 63.86% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.12% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.87% (+0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 87.17% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.83%
Over 1.5 60.83% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.17% (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 62.65% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.35% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.87% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.13% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 62.04%
Draw 20.63%
FC Cincinnati 17.32%
Philadelphia Union
2-0 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81%
4-0 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 62.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.63%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.32%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luciano Acosta 69' goal
MLS Playoffs
Oct 21, 2022 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leon Flach 59' goal
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Geoff Cameron 34' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 50' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 54' yellowcard
  • Brenner 55' goal
  • Nick Hagglund 66' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 71' goal
  • goal Paxten Aaronson 77'
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alejandro Bedoya 17' goal
  • Cory Burke 64' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 39'
  • yellowcard Haris Medunjanin 55'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 57'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 62'
  • yellowcard John Nelson 68'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 43
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Gazdag 11' goal
  • Paxten Aaronson 53' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 25
Oct 10, 2021 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Edgar Castillo 68' yellowcard
  • Haris Medunjanin 82' goal
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 45'+3'
  • goal Paxten Aaronson 56'
  • yellowcard Matt Freese 80'