Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew
3 - 0
Cincinnati

Morris (15', 15'), Camilo Hernandez (23' pen., 23' pen.), Russell-Rowe (90+6', 90+6')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Nwobodo (45+2'), Nwobodo (45+2'), Arias (76'), Arias (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 3-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
55.76% ( -0.17)	22.62% ( 0.16)	21.62% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.39% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

-0.69)

44.03% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

-0.68)

66.42% (

0.68)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

-0.3)

15.64% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.34% (

-0.55)

44.65% (

0.55)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66% (

-0.38)

34.34% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96% (

-0.41)

71.04% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 55.76%

FC Cincinnati 21.62%

Draw 22.62%

Columbus Crew	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 55.76%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.62%