Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 2
Columbus Crew

Asprilla (28', 28', 30', 30'), Blanco (80', 80')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Zelarayan (45+3', 45+3', 65', 65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Portland
Thursday, July 13 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Columbus Crew
49.22% ( 1.06)	23.96% ( -0.32)	26.81% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 56.85% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13% (

0.87)

44.87% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

0.83)

67.22% (

-0.83)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

0.76)

18.32% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59% (

1.27)

49.41% (

-1.27)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

-0.11)

30.39% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41% (

-0.13)

66.58% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 49.22%

Columbus Crew 26.81%

Draw 23.96%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.47% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.04% Total : 26.81%