Major League Soccer

Jul 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
4 - 1
Portland

Chara (43' og., 43' og.), Reynoso (45+4', 45+4', 77', 77'), Hlongwane (74', 74')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Boli (60', 60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-1 NY City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Portland Timbers
53.45% ( -1.15)	24.4% ( 0.38)	22.15% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.07% (

-0.66)

50.94% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

-0.59)

72.81% (

0.59)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.69)

19% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45% (

-1.16)

50.55% (

1.17)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

0.39)

37.71% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

0.38)

74.48% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 53.44%

Portland Timbers 22.15%

Draw 24.4%

Minnesota United	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.44%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.15%