Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 0
NY City

Boupendza (6', 6'), Moreno (52', 52'), Hagglund (59', 59')
Miazga (45'), Miazga (45'), Kubo (50'), Kubo (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Risa (88'), Risa (88'), Perea (90+2'), Perea (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-3 Inter Miami (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 24 at 12am in US Open Cup

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 0-2 Minnesota Utd
Monday, August 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York City FC
54.39% ( -1.38)	24.77% ( 0.54)	20.85% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.28% (

-1.1)

53.72% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

-0.93)

75.2% (

0.94)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3% (

-0.95)

19.7% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.29% (

-1.58)

51.71% (

1.58)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.41% (

0.27)

40.6% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.81% (

0.24)

77.2% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 54.38%

New York City FC 20.85%

Draw 24.76%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.38%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.85%