Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 55.52% ( | 22.79% ( | 21.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( | 44.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( | 67.08% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( | 15.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.75% ( | 45.25% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( | 34.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( | 71.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 5-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.52% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.68% |