Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.