Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 42.34% ( | 25.11% ( | 32.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% ( | 46.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% | 69.18% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( | 22.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% ( | 55.49% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% | 27.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.55% |