Major League Soccer

Jul 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
0 - 3
Minnesota Utd

FT(HT: 0-6)

Hlongwane (15', 15', 15'), Pukki (20', 20', 20'), Tajouri (87', 87', 87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-4 Austin
Sunday, July 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Minnesota United
50.27% ( -0.61)	25.1% ( 0.29)	24.63% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 51.17% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.6% (

-0.89)

51.4% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78% (

-0.78)

73.22% (

0.79)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.6)

20.46% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

-0.97)

52.92% (

0.97)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33% (

-0.2)

35.67% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56% (

-0.21)

72.44% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 50.26%

Minnesota United 24.63%

Draw 25.09%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.26%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.63%