Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
2 - 2
Kansas

Ibrahim (45+2', 45+2'), Franco (90+8', 90+8')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Pulido (25', 25', 62' pen., 62' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Houston
Sunday, July 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Vancouver
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
47.77% ( -0.12)	25.58% ( 0.05)	26.65% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.19% (

-0.16)

51.81% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.43% (

-0.14)

73.57% (

0.14)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

-0.11)

21.69% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16% (

-0.17)

54.84% (

0.18)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.81% (

-0.03)

34.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12% (

-0.03)

70.88% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 47.77%

Sporting Kansas City 26.65%

Draw 25.57%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.65%