Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.