Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 4
Austin

Padelford (85', 85')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Fagundez (35', 35'), Driussi (45' pen., 45' pen., 51', 51'), Rigoni (90+5', 90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 4-1 Portland
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Austin FC
58.66% ( -0.28)	23.01% ( 0.1)	18.33% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.91% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96% (

-0.14)

50.04% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98% (

-0.13)

72.01% (

0.13)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25% (

-0.15)

16.75% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.32% (

-0.27)

46.68% (

0.27)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.76% (

0.13)

41.24% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.23% (

0.11)

77.77% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 58.65%

Austin FC 18.33%

Draw 23%

Minnesota United	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.65%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.33%