Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.