Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 2
Orlando City

Wiley (22', 22')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Carlos (25', 25'), McGuire (60', 60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Thursday, July 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 4-0 Orlando City
Sunday, July 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Orlando City
60.46% ( 1.6)	21.32% ( -0.71)	18.22% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.93% (

1.79)

43.07% (

-1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.53% (

1.74)

65.47% (

-1.74)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.19% (

1.09)

13.81% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.85% (

2.12)

41.15% (

-2.11)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72% (

0.07)

37.28% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.93% (

0.07)

74.07% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 60.46%

Orlando City 18.22%

Draw 21.32%

Atlanta United	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.01% Total : 60.46%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.32%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.22%