Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.