Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
4 - 0
Nashville

Silva (26', 26'), Almada (46', 46'), Robinson (57', 57'), Lobzhanidze (87', 87')
Muyumba (34'), Muyumba (34'), Pineda (35'), Pineda (35'), Wolff (66'), Wolff (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 0-2 Atlanta
Monday, August 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 16 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Nashville SC
48.65% ( 0.13)	24.84% ( -0.04)	26.51% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.09% (

0.1)

48.91% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29% (

0.09)

71% (

-0.09)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

0.1)

20.14% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59% (

0.16)

52.41% (

-0.16)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

-0.02)

32.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

-0.02)

69.32% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 48.65%

Nashville SC 26.51%

Draw 24.84%

Atlanta United	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.65%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.51%