Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.