Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Jonathan Sirois 19' goal
  • Jonathan Sirois 19' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 50' goal
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 50' goal
  • Facundo Torres 54' goal
  • Facundo Torres 54' goal
  • Ramiro Enrique 68' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 68' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 75' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Campbell 24'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 24'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Corbo 60'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Corbo 60'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 69'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 69'

Orlando City vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 25, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta 4 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kwadwo Opoku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result

Orlando City 59.67% (+0.56)
Draw 21.62% (-0.27)
CF Montreal 18.71% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

54% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.4% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 43.6% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 34.01% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 65.99% (-0.71)
Over 4.5 17.53% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 82.47% (-0.52)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 85.78% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 14.22% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 58.04% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 41.96% (-0.81)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 62.96% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 37.04% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 26.17% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 73.83% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Orlando City 59.67%
Draw 21.61%
CF Montreal 18.71%
Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.47% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.18% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.16% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.57% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.24% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.23% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 59.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.61%
CF Montreal
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.71%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Robin Jansson 62' goal
  • Romell Quioto 66' goal
MLS Playoffs
Oct 17, 2022 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ismael Kone 68' goal
  • Djordje Mihailovic 90'+9' goal
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2022 9.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joel Waterman 21' goal
  • Joel Waterman 24' yellowcard
  • Djordje Mihailovic 42' yellowcard
  • Djordje Mihailovic 52' goal
  • Romell Quioto 55' yellowcard
  • Samuel Piette 79' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Torres 81' goal
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ercan Kara 68'
  • goal Joao Moutinho 72'
  • yellowcard Thomas Williams 89'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Feb 27, 2022 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alexandre Pato 49' goal
  • Cesar Araujo 56' yellowcard
  • Benji Michel 59' goal
  • Robin Jansson 66' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 81' redcard
  • Joao Moutinho 85' yellowcard
  • redcard Romell Quioto 66'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 87'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Torres 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 46
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Samuel Piette 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 79' redcard
  • yellowcard Silvester van der Water 34'
  • goal Jhegson Mendez 55'
  • yellowcard Jhegson Mendez 56'
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 65'
  • goal Daryl Dike 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oriol Rosell 30' yellowcard
  • Christopher Mueller 45' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Rudy Camacho 51'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sunusi 90'+1'