Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Andres Jasson 29' goal
  • Andres Jasson 30' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Andres Perea 58' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 45'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 45'

New York City FC vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati 3 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Gabriel Pereira

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Montreal 1 - 0 New England
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kwadwo Opoku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result

New York City FC 60.14% (-0.50)
Draw 21.35% (+0.22)
CF Montreal 18.51% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.27% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 42.73% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 34.87% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 65.13% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 18.17% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 81.83% (+0.39)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 86.2% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 13.79% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 58.88% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 41.12% (+0.63)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 63.24% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.76% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.45% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

New York City FC 60.14%
Draw 21.35%
CF Montreal 18.51%
New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.04% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 60.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.07% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.35%
CF Montreal
0-1 @ 5.08% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.03% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.54% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.51%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 2.03am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Saputo
  • goal Matias Pellegrini 33'
  • goal Matias Pellegrini 33'
MLS Playoffs
Oct 23, 2022 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Djordje Mihailovic 85' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 6'
  • goal Heber 45'+3'
  • goal Talles Magno 61'
Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alistair Johnston 35' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 53' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Mar 12, 2022 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alexander Callens 7' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 20' goal
  • Alfredo Morales 22' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 64' goal
  • Thiago Andrade 83' goal
  • yellowcard Matko Miljevic 36'
  • goal Zachary Brault-Guillard 52'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ismael Tajouri 29' goal
  • Maxime Chanot 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 42'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Hamdi Hussein Hafez 76'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
Jul 8, 2021 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mason Toye 43' goal
  • Zachary Brault-Guillard 57' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 73' goal
  • goal Keaton Parks 29'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 60'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Ibeagha 70'
  • yellowcard Alfredo Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 90'+5'