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Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Columbus Crew

Montreal
2 - 4
Columbus Crew

Opoku (52', 52'), Vilsaint (68', 68')
Jabang (18'), Jabang (18'), Miljevic (90+4'), Miljevic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Corbo (14' og., 14' og.), Camilo Hernandez (22', 22', 43', 43', 65' pen., 65' pen.)
Yeboah (29'), Yeboah (29'), Amundsen (46'), Amundsen (46'), Schulte (86'), Schulte (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Montreal
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Columbus Crew
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
48.21% (2.822 2.82)25.43% (-0.109 -0.11)26.37% (-2.715 -2.72)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-1.617 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (-1.193 -1.19)51.39% (1.189 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (-1.05 -1.05)73.2% (1.046 1.05)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.765 0.77)21.33% (-0.768 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (1.169 1.17)54.28% (-1.173 -1.17)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-2.727 -2.73)34.2% (2.724 2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-3.038 -3.04)70.89% (3.035 3.04)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 48.2%
    Columbus Crew 26.37%
    Draw 25.42%
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.77 0.77)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.781 0.78)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.201 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.495 0.5)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.118 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.226 0.23)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.2%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.341 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.528 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.383 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.289 -0.29)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 26.37%

How you voted: Montreal vs Columbus Crew

CF Montreal
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Columbus Crew
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 12.30am
Aug 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Montreal
Diaz Espinoza (47')
Waterman (30')
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Columbus Crew
2-1
Montreal
Zardes (44', 62')
Williams (39'), Etienne (56')
Quioto (90+2')
May 1, 2021 8pm
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Columbus Crew
1-2
Montreal
Zardes (45')
Lappalainen (24'), Krkic (74' pen.)
Corrales (52')