Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.