Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
5 - 0
Portland

Bassi (5' pen., 5' pen.), Quinones (11', 11'), Baird (14', 14'), Escobar (45+3', 45+3'), Smith (63', 63')
Escobar (22'), Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4'), Dorsey (45+4')

FT(HT: 8-0)

Zuparic (45+1'), Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90'), Araujo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Houston
Sunday, July 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 3-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, July 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Portland Timbers
51.62% ( -0.16)	24.58% ( 0.03)	23.8% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.98% (

0.02)

50.02% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28% (

0.02)

72% (

-0.01)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

-0.05)

19.36% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

-0.09)

51.15% (

0.1)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.35% (

0.14)

35.65% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.58% (

0.14)

72.42% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 51.62%

Portland Timbers 23.8%

Draw 24.57%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 51.62%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.8%