Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 53.49% ( | 24.29% ( | 22.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( | 50.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( | 72.32% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( | 18.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( | 37.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( | 74.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.22% |