Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Boyd (29', 29'), Puig (72', 72'), Sharp (90' pen., 90' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gimenez (2'), Gimenez (2'), Dean (89'), Dean (89')
Gimenez (27'), Gimenez (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 4-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-3 Orlando City
Monday, August 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Chicago Fire
51.38% ( 0.98)	22.48% ( -0.28)	26.14% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 61.4% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41% (

0.72)

38.59% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11% (

0.76)

60.89% (

-0.76)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

0.6)

15.2% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.16% (

1.12)

43.83% (

-1.12)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

-0.13)

27.59% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88% (

-0.17)

63.12% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 51.38%

Chicago Fire 26.14%

Draw 22.48%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.38%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.14%