Major League Soccer

Sep 3, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
4 - 0
Chicago Fire

Benteke (9', 9', 90+1', 90+1'), Ku-Dipietro (20', 20'), Teran (40' og., 41' og.)

FT(HT: 6-0)

Navarro (21'), Navarro (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 Vancouver
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Chicago Fire
52.91% ( 0.5)	23.22% ( -0.06)	23.87% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 56.34% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

-0.15)

44.17% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

-0.15)

66.55% (

0.14)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

0.12)

16.68% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

0.22)

46.55% (

-0.22)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-0.45)

32.38% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-0.51)

68.9% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

DC United 52.91%

Chicago Fire 23.87%

Draw 23.21%

DC United	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 52.91%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.87%