Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Citi Field

NY City
2 - 0
Orlando City

Bakrar (37', 37'), Magno (68', 68')
Ledezma (41'), Ledezma (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pereyra (45+1'), Pereyra (45+1'), Cartagena (54'), Cartagena (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 4-3 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Orlando City
55.09% ( -0.01)	23.88% ( 0.01)	21.03% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92% (

-0.04)

50.08% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95% (

-0.04)

72.05% (

0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95% (

-0.02)

18.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.05% (

-0.04)

48.95% (

0.03)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-0.02)

38.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.02)

75.09% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 55.08%

Orlando City 21.03%

Draw 23.87%

New York City FC	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.08%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.03%