Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Facundo Torres 48' goal
  • Facundo Torres 48' goal
  • Mauricio Pereyra 56' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pereyra 56' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena 73' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena 73' yellowcard
  • Facundo Torres 90'+1' goal
  • Facundo Torres 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Adeniran 50'
  • yellowcard Aziel Jackson 50'
  • yellowcard Samuel Adeniran 50'
  • yellowcard Aziel Jackson 50'
  • goal Rasmus Alm 78'
  • goal Rasmus Alm 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Nerwinski 87'
  • yellowcard Jake Nerwinski 87'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 90'
  • yellowcard Anthony Markanich 90'
  • redcard Jake Nerwinski 90'+10'
  • redcard Jake Nerwinski 90'+10'

Orlando City vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 Orlando City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 21, 2023 2.30am
St Louis City 6 - 3 Austin
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result

Orlando City 66.68% (-0.04)
Draw 19.3% (+0.03)
St Louis City 14.02% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.28% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.03% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 41.96% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 35.63% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 64.37% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 18.74% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.26% (+0.04)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 88.31% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 11.68% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 63.23% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 36.77% (+0.06)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 58.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 41.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.62% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.38% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Orlando City 66.68%
Draw 19.3%
St Louis City 14.02%
Orlando City
2-0 @ 11.29%
1-0 @ 10.52% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.34% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 66.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 1%
Total : 19.3%
St Louis City
0-1 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.02%