Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
2 - 1
St Louis City

Torres (48', 48', 90+1' pen., 90+1' pen.)
Pereyra (56'), Pereyra (56'), Cartagena (73'), Cartagena (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alm (78', 79')
Adeniran (50'), Jackson (50'), Adeniran (50'), Jackson (50'), Nerwinski (87'), Nerwinski (87'), Markanich (90'), Markanich (90')
Nerwinski (90+10'), Nerwinski (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-3 Orlando City
Monday, August 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 6-3 Austin
Monday, August 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	St Louis City
66.68% ( -0.04)	19.3% ( 0.02)	14.02% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03% (

-0.05)

41.96% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

-0.05)

64.37% (

0.05)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31% (

-0.02)

11.68% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.23% (

-0.05)

36.77% (

0.05)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.06% (

-0)

41.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62% (

-0)

78.38% (

Score Analysis

Orlando City 66.68%

St Louis City 14.02%

Draw 19.3%

Orlando City	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 11.29% 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 66.68%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 1% Total : 19.3%	0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.02%