Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2023 at 2.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
6 - 3
Austin

Parker (22', 22'), Gioacchini (45+2', 45+2', 50', 50'), Adeniran (72', 72', 90+5', 90+5'), Ostrak (88', 88')
Blom (17'), Blom (17')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Driussi (61' pen., 61' pen.), Bruin (87', 87'), Rigoni (90+1', 90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 16 at 1.59am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, July 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Austin FC
46.22% ( -0.77)	23.25% ( 0.18)	30.52% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 62.07% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.81% (

-0.52)

39.19% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.48% (

-0.55)

61.52% (

0.55)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.71% (

-0.5)

17.29% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.36% (

-0.88)

47.64% (

0.88)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

0.11)

24.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41% (

0.16)

59.58% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 46.22%

Austin FC 30.52%

Draw 23.25%

St Louis City	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.22%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.25%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.52%