Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
46.22% ( -0.77) | 23.25% ( 0.18) | 30.52% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 62.07% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.81% ( -0.52) | 39.19% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.48% ( -0.55) | 61.52% ( 0.55) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.71% ( -0.5) | 17.29% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.36% ( -0.88) | 47.64% ( 0.88) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% ( 0.11) | 24.95% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.41% ( 0.16) | 59.58% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |