Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
Kansas

Zardes (17', 17'), Finlay (19', 19')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Rosero (33', 33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Austin
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-2 Salt Lake
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
53.76% ( -0.01)	23.65% ( 0.01)	22.59% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62% (

-0.03)

47.38% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

-0.02)

69.6% (

0.03)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-0.01)

17.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92% (

-0.02)

48.08% (

0.03)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7% (

-0.01)

35.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

-0.01)

72.05% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 53.75%

Sporting Kansas City 22.59%

Draw 23.65%

Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 53.75%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.65%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.59%