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Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
Austin FC

Vancouver
2 - 1
Austin

Vite (1', 1'), Cordova (72', 72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Redes (47', 47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-3 Seattle
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-4 Austin
Sunday, July 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
60.9% (0.015999999999998 0.02)21.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)43.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.83% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)13.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.89% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.11% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.93% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 60.89%
    Austin FC 17.83%
    Draw 21.26%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 60.89%
1-1 @ 10.04%
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.26%
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.83%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Austin

Vancouver Whitecaps
55.6%
Draw
0.0%
Austin FC
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Oct 2, 2022 3am
Apr 24, 2022 1.30am
Sep 5, 2021 12am
Gameweek 19
Vancouver
2-1
Austin
Godoy (70'), Caicedo (83')
Caicedo (84')
Driussi (45')
Fagundez (7'), Kleemann (79')
Aug 19, 2021 2am
Gameweek 27
Austin
1-2
Vancouver
Ring (37')
Jimenez (55'), Besler (63')
Nerwinski (52'), White (74')
Dajome (62')