Major League Soccer

Sep 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
4 - 1
Montreal

Silva (30', 30'), Almada (33', 33'), Giakoumakis (46', 46'), Mosquera (89', 89')
Robinson (65'), Robinson (65'), Mosquera (90+1'), Mosquera (90+1')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Hamdy (40', 40')
Waterman (66'), Waterman (67'), Choiniere (79'), Choiniere (79')
Waterman (87'), Waterman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	CF Montreal
55.86% ( 0.72)	22.29% ( -0.33)	21.85% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 56.85% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

1.02)

42.26% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

1.02)

64.67% (

-1.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.01% (

0.59)

14.99% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.55% (

1.12)

43.45% (

-1.12)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

0.22)

33.12% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

0.24)

69.72% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 55.86%

CF Montreal 21.85%

Draw 22.29%

Atlanta United	Draw	CF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.86%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 21.85%