Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Xande Silva 30' goal
  • Xande Silva 30' goal
  • Thiago Almada 33' goal
  • Thiago Almada 33' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 46' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 46' goal
  • Miles Robinson 65' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 65' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 89' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 89' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmed Hamdy 40'
  • goal Ahmed Hamdy 40'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 66'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 67'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • redcard Joel Waterman 87'
  • redcard Joel Waterman 87'

Atlanta United vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
DC United 1 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Montreal 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kwadwo Opoku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result

Atlanta United 55.86% ▲ (+0.73)
Draw 22.29% ▼ (-0.34)
CF Montreal 21.85% ▼ (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.85% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.74% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 2.5 42.26% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 3.5 35.33% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 3.5 64.67% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 4.5 18.52% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 4.5 81.48% ▼ (-0.76)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 85.01% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 0.5 14.99% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 1.5 56.55% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 1.5 43.45% ▼ (-1.12)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 33.12% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 30.28% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 69.72% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 55.86%
Draw 22.29%
CF Montreal 21.85%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-95.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.29%
CF Montreal
1-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 21.85%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Atlanta
  • goal Brooks Lennon 54'
  • goal Brooks Lennon 54'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Apr 30, 2022 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Kamal Miller 4' goal
  • Rudy Camacho 10' yellowcard
  • Victor Wanyama 31' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 58' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Torres 81' goal
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 54'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 76'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Mar 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT
Montreal
  • Andrew Gutman 4' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 6' goal
  • Dom Dwyer 67' redcard
  • Thiago Almada 85' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 90'+2' goal
  • Santiago Sosa 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 10'
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 28'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 31'
  • yellowcard Romell Quioto 31'
  • goal Ismael Kone 37'
  • goal Romell Quioto 42'
  • yellowcard Lassi Lappalainen 72'
  • yellowcard Matko Miljevic 82'
  • yellowcard Rudy Camacho 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alistair Johnston 90'+6'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 37
Montreal
Oct 3, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Romell Quioto 50' goal
  • Romell Quioto 55' goal
  • Ibrahim Sunusi 78' yellowcard
  • Rudy Camacho 87' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Choiniere 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Mulraney 48'
  • yellowcard Anton Walkes 53'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Montreal
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
  • Aljaz Struna 19' yellowcard
  • Mason Toye 53' goal
  • Rudy Camacho 63' goal
  • Rudy Camacho 73' redcard
  • Victor Wanyama 82' redcard
  • Djordje Mihailovic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Campbell 27'
  • goal Josef Martinez 65'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 76'
  • redcard Josef Martinez 82'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Damm 90'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 90'+6'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
Atlanta
May 16, 2021 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Santiago Sosa 17' yellowcard
  • Marcelino Moreno 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Rudy Camacho 19'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 29'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Struna 90'

Form Data

DC United 1 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 5 - 2 Inter Miami
Dallas 2 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 2 Cincinnati
Atlanta 4 - 0 Nashville
Seattle 0 - 2 Atlanta
Montreal 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Montreal 0 - 0 Chicago Fire
Montreal 2 - 4 Columbus Crew
NY City 2 - 0 Montreal
Montreal 1 - 0 New England
Toronto 2 - 3 Montreal