Major League Soccer

Sep 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 2
Atlanta

Arriola (4', 4'), Kamungo (62', 62')
Velasco (53'), Velasco (53'), Ibeagha (69'), Ibeagha (69')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Giakoumakis (44', 44'), Lobzhanidze (58', 58')
Sosa (7'), Sosa (7'), Giakoumakis (21'), Giakoumakis (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Dallas
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Atlanta United
44.04% ( 0.48)	24.97% ( -0.24)	30.98% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 56.28% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1% (

0.94)

46.89% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

0.88)

69.15% (

-0.88)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

0.62)

21.32% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73% (

0.95)

54.27% (

-0.95)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

0.31)

28.46% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

0.39)

64.23% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Dallas 44.04%

Atlanta United 30.98%

Draw 24.97%

Dallas	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.98%