Major League Soccer

Aug 31, 2023 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
2 - 1
Dallas

Markanich (82', 82'), Theyr Thorisson (85', 85')
Stroud (44'), Stroud (44'), Vassilev (90+4'), Vassilev (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ansah (90+5', 90+5')
Obrian (46'), Obrian (46'), Farfan (60'), Farfan (60'), Illarramendi (67'), Illarramendi (67'), Quignon (75'), Quignon (75')
Paes (12'), Paes (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Austin
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Louis City.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Dallas
47.7% ( 0)	23.73%	28.57% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.05% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4%

42.6% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35% (

65% (

-0)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

-0)

18.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.06% (

48.93% (

-0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

-0)

27.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

-0)

63.57% (

-0)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 47.7%

Dallas 28.57%

Draw 23.73%

St Louis City	Draw	Dallas
2-1 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.64% Total : 47.7%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.57%