Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Audi Field

DC United
1 - 1
Atlanta

Pirani (80', 80')
Benteke (85'), Benteke (85'), Rodrigo Asad (88'), Rodrigo Asad (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lobzhanidze (14', 14')
Fortune (61'), Fortune (61'), Mosquera (77'), Mosquera (77'), Silva (89'), Silva (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 DC United
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Atlanta United
45.61% ( -0.21)	23.89% ( -0.02)	30.49% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 59.75% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77% (

0.2)

42.23% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.36% (

0.21)

64.63% (

-0.21)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26% (

-0.01)

18.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.88% (

-0.01)

50.11% (

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

0.25)

26.46% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.35% (

0.33)

61.65% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

DC United 45.61%

Atlanta United 30.49%

Draw 23.88%

DC United	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.61%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.49%