Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
45.61% ( -0.21) | 23.89% ( -0.02) | 30.49% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 59.75% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.77% ( 0.2) | 42.23% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.36% ( 0.21) | 64.63% ( -0.21) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.26% ( -0.01) | 18.73% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.88% ( -0.01) | 50.11% ( 0) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% ( 0.25) | 26.46% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.35% ( 0.33) | 61.65% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |