Major League Soccer

Sep 16, 2023 at 10pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
5 - 2
Inter Miami

Muyumba (36'), Miller (41' og.), Lennon (44'), Giakoumakis (76'), Wolff (89')
Muyumba (29'), Abram (52')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Campana (25', 53' pen.)
Farias (57'), Stefanelli (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
60.42% ( -0.1)	20.21% ( 0.05)	19.37% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64% (

-0.12)

36% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.91% (

-0.13)

58.1% (

0.13)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4% (

-0.06)

11.6% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.41% (

-0.14)

36.59% (

0.14)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0.01)

31.88% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

-0.01)

68.33% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 60.42%

Inter Miami 19.37%

Draw 20.21%

Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 60.42%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.21%	1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 19.37%