Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 55.13% ( | 23.44% ( | 21.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( | 47.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( | 69.99% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( | 17.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.52% ( | 47.47% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( | 36.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( | 73.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 55.13% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.42% |